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Holding the first pick in the draft for the third straight season, the Edmonton Oilers are accumulating plenty of high-end talent, but remain a long way from a playoff berth. Coby Fleener Jersey . Off-Season Game Plan examines the Oilers roster and what moves they might make this summer as they try to start moving out of the lottery process. Already stocked with skilled young forwards, the Oilers are more likely to listen to trade offers for their number one pick, but its not going to be easy to pry away a young, top pair defenceman, even for the possibility of landing Nail Yakupov in the draft. That doesnt mean that GM Steve Tambellini shouldnt investigate the possibilities, however. Ask the Ducks about Cam Fowler, the Devils about Adam Larsson, the Coyotes about Oliver Ekman-Larsson, the Islanders about Travis Hamonic and so on. (While were tossing out fanciful names, how about the Rangers Marc Staal, Winnipegs Zach Bogosian or Washingtons John Carlson?) Those calls may go nowhere, but if the Oilers are prepared to part with the top pick, it would have to be a for defenceman that can be a part of their core going forward and, ideally, a first-round pick that the Oilers can use to stock the prospect shelves. Of course, the Oilers also have assets, other than the first overall pick, that they could move in order to improve their blueline. Surely there would be a market for Sam Gagner, Magnus Paajarvi and Linus Omark, among others, that could yield a defensive upgrade. While the Oilers are killed for their defence, they allowed 30.7 shots per game, which ranked 19th in the league and that average was down to 29.3 per game in the last 24 games of the season, so there is some progress. That doesnt mean there isnt plenty of room for improvement, just that the top pick in the draft doesnt have to be the only chip played in order to achieve that improvment. After winning the draft lottery, Tambellini said, ””We articulated a plan two years ago that we felt we had to develop and draft our own. We knew that in our market that we werent going to attract the A-plus free agents just to come without us being a good hockey club. We know that this is our only way to really, as a core, to get better.” The Oilers core is exciting and there is potential for long-term success, but at some point, the potential needs to become reality. “If I have an option to get a solid pick and someone to help the current club, I have to strongly look at that,” Tambellini told the National Post. “You listen to comments from players post-season. I think Taylor Hall was saying, Yeah, weve got these good young kids, but I want to win. I want to show we can win in this city now. Thats leadership.” The other issue for the Oilers to deal with is whether or not Tom Renney will still be the one calling the shots behind the bench. That decision hasnt been made public yet, so there remains a door open to possible change but, considering how much the Oilers need to improve to catch the playoff teams in the West, the coach isnt likely to make or break this team next season. That means the Oilers shall continue their process of upgrading the talent on their roster and hope that the 2012-2013 season shows at least the same kind of improvement that they registered last season (a 12-point improvement from 62 to 74 points). The TSN.ca Rating is an efficiency rating based on per-game statistics including goals and assists—weighted for strength (ie. power play, even, shorthanded)—plus-minus, hits, blocked shots, giveaways, takeaways, penalty differential and faceoffs. (Stats are listed in this format: G-A-PTS, /, PIM, GP). Generally, a replacement-level player is around a 60, a top six forward and top four defenceman will be 70-plus and the biggest stars will be over 80. Evgeni Malkin finished at the top of the regular season ratings with a 93.12. Salary cap information all comes from the indispensable www.capgeek.com. GM/COACHSteve Tambellini/Tom Renney Returning Forwards Player Rating GP G A PTS / Cap Hit Jordan Eberle 77.35 78 34 42 76 4 $1.158M Taylor Hall 75.36 61 27 26 53 3 $3.75M Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 72.45 62 18 34 52 -2 $3.775M Ryan Jones 64.17 79 17 16 33 -7 $1.5M Ales Hemsky 63.10 69 10 26 36 -13 $5.0M Shawn Horcoff 60.95 81 13 21 34 -23 $5.5M Ben Eager 57.37 63 8 5 13 -1 $1.1M Eric Belanger 56.76 78 4 12 16 -13 $1.75M Anton Lander 53.29 56 2 4 6 -8 $900K Free Agent Forwards Player Rating GP G A PTS / Class 11-12 Cap Hit Sam Gagner 67.65 75 18 29 47 5 RFA $2.275M Ryan Smyth 67.16 82 19 27 46 5 UFA $6.25M Lennart Petrell 55.38 60 4 5 9 -10 UFA $900K Darcy Hordichuk 52.38 43 1 2 3 -3 UFA $825K While talk of the Oilers bright future centres on their first overall picks, their top scorer last season was Jordan Eberle, drafted 22nd overall in 2008. He had some good fortune, scoring on 18.9% of his shots, but there is a lot to like about a slick, skilled winger who can get to the net like Eberle. Taylor Hall is more of a driving force than Eberle, a stronger physical presence who drives hard to the scoring areas, but the overriding concern with Hall is that both of his first two seasons have been shortened by injury. Hes undergone shoulder surgery and his recovery could take him right up until training camp, so its conceivable that early returns next season may reflect a summer spent on rehab rather than training for the upcoming season. Last years number one pick, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, played very well in his rookie campaign, though shoulder injuries left him on the shelf for 20 games. As he matures, Nugent-Hopkins should better be able to handle the NHL grind, but his vision and instincts seem to assure that the poised teen will always be able to put up points. An energy winger who has contributed 35 goals over the last two seasons, Ryan Jones is a valuable checker who enhances his value with his nose for the net. The Oilers took a certain amount of risk by deciding to sign RW Ales Hemsky to a contract extension. Hemsky had one of his worst seasons, certainly his least productive since the lockout, yet his experience allows him to handle tougher assignments than those that have been typically assigned to Edmontons trio of young scorers. If Hemsky can rebound, hes the kind of playmaker that can make those around him more productive. Veteran centre Shawn Horcoff gets paid big money and gets saddled with more defensive zone starts and high quality of competition (via www.behindthenet.ca), but the results havent been great. Until the Oilers are willing to let young centres take on more responsibility, though, Horcoff is the guy who gets those minutes, for better or for worse. As enforcers go, Ben Eager is skilled enough to take a regular fourth-line shift. He moves well for a big man and can bang bodies on the forecheck as a result, with decent enough hands around the net to chip in 33 goals in the last four seasons. Checking centre Eric Belanger had been rather consistent, scoring between 33 and 41 points for eight straight seasons, before managing just 16 points in 2011-2012. Hes 34, so maybe its fair to expect a decline, but Belanger should be able to provide more than he did last season. Of course, that can be dependent on linemates and opportunities, but Belanger gives the Oilers some flexibility down the middle. Anton Lander was overmatched as a 20-year-old in the NHL and could probably use more time in the AHL to polish his game and prepare for a role as a third-line centre. There will be other young forwards competing for a spot, including Magnus Paajarvi, Teemu Hartikainen and Linus Omark, so Lander might develop more playing significant minutes in the AHL for a season. On February 2, 2012, Sam Gagner had a night for the ages, netting eight points against the Chicago Blackhawks, prompting talk of a breakthrough for the talented 22-year-old. However, after finishing the season with seven points in the final 23 games, Gagner ended up with 47 points on the season, falling between 41 and 49 points like he has in every one of his five NHL seasons. As it is, Gagner is a capable second-line centre. 33 centres scored 50 points or more, so if Gagner is just outside that group, hes still doing enough to fit in the top six. At the same time, since he scored 49 points as an 18-year-old, expectations are that Gagner should be able to score more than he has and maybe its a matter of finding the right mix among Oilers forwards. Whether the Oilers welcome Ryan Smyth back into the fold could come down to cost, again. Smyth wanted to return to Edmonton last year and was very productive early (scoring 24 points in his first 25 games), but as the season went on, his production faded. Even though Smyth logged heavy minutes for the Oilers, there may not be room for him in the top six if Edmonton selects an NHL-ready forward with the first pick. If Eberle, Hall, Nugent-Hopkins, Hemsky and Gagner are top six forwards, that leaves one more opening and if Smyth isnt going to be the one filling that spot, it could be difficult for the Oilers to justify his price tag, whatever it may be. If Yakupov is added to that mix, well, the Oilers would certainly be young up front, but there would be many options to mix and match between scoring lines. Adding to the youthful mix, Edmonton also has prospects Magnus Paajarvi, Teemu Hartikainen and Linus Omark bucking for regular duty. There is reason for hope and optimism with all these young forwards, yet there is also a lot more risk, so it wouldnt be shocking to see the Oilers add an inexpensive veteran or two on the lower end of the forward lines. Returning Defence Player Rating GP G A PTS / Cap Hit Corey Potter 66.60 62 4 17 21 16 $775K Ladislav Smid 66.24 78 5 10 15 4 $2.25M Andy Sutton 64.66 52 3 7 10 +5 $1.75M Ryan Whitney 64.63 51 3 17 20 -16 $4.0M Nick Schultz 60.60 82 1 6 7 -12 $3.5M Free Agent Defence Player Rating GP G A PTS / Class 11-12 Cap Hit Jeff Petry 66.95 73 2 23 25 -7 RFA $1.0M Cam Barker 60.75 25 2 0 2 0 RFA $2.25M Theo Peckham 60.32 54 1 2 3 0 RFA $1.075M There are few areas on any team in the league with such a glaring need as the Oilers defence corps. That isnt to suggest there arent NHL-calibre defencemen on hand, but none of them is particularly suited to be top pair defenceman, so the need to somehow acquire a premier blueliner hangs over the team. Of those already on the roster, the Oilers got nice value out of Corey Potter, a 28-year-old puck-moving defenceman who had played a total of nine NHL games prior to last season. He could play less, but is currently an inexpensive 20-minute-a-night option. Ladislav Smid is developing into a quality shutdown defender. He scored a career-high 15 points last season and was a plus player despite taking on the oppositions best lines on a nightly basis. 37-year-old Andy Sutton can be a suspension waiting to happen, but there are benefits to having a 6-foot-6, 245-pound defenceman with a nasty disposition. Hes not playing 20 minutes per game anymore, but Sutton can do his part on the third pairing. Ongoing ankle problems have derailed Ryan Whitneys career, limiting him to 86 games over the last two seasons. When healthy, Whitney is the best quarterback for the Edmonton power play, only the risk that hell be out of the lineup has to drive the Oilers to keep improving the defensive unit as a whole, so that they dont miss a beat without Whitney. In the Oilers efforts to upgrade their blueline, they traded to get Nick Schultz from Minnesota. While Schultz has played in a defensive role against tough competition for a long time, he didnt come cheaply, costing Edmonton Tom Gilbert who, for all his flaws, still might have been Edmontons most reliable blueliner. If Edmontons defence is going to show improvement, they will need Schultz to be a big part of their shutdown effort. Jeff Petry played his first full NHL season and the 24-year-old impressed. Hes a strong skater with good size and made better decisions with the puck as the season progressed and he was handed more responsibility. If there is someone on the Edmonton defence that could be a 25-minute per game defenceman, Petry is the most likely candidate. Being the third overall pick in 2004 is something that Cam Barker cant escape and it makes his struggle to stick as an NHL regular so noteworthy. Considering his price tag and minimal contribution, it would seem likely that Barker doesnt receive a qualifying offer from the Oilers. As a seventh defenceman who provides toughness, Theo Peckham can fill a role for the Oilers and hes 24, so he could still develop into a solid regular who packs a punch when need be. Returning Goaltender Player Rating GP W L OTL GAA SV Cap Hit Nikolai Khabibulin 68.47 40 12 20 7 2.65 .910 $3.75M Free Agent Goaltender Player Rating GP W L OTL GAA SV Class 11-12 Cap Hit Devan Dubnyk 70.32 47 20 20 3 2.67 .914 RFA $800K The record shows that Nikolai Khabibulins 2.65 goals against average and .910 save percentage were his best marks since joining the Oilers three years ago, though he put up great numbers early (.935 SV% through the end of November) and then fell back significantly for the rest of the season, eventually losing time to Devan Dubnyk. With one year remaining on Khabibulins ill-advised contract, he could be shopped, but is most likely an insurance policy in case Dubnyk cant handle the number one job. Dubnyk has taken some time to develop since being selected in the first round in 2004, but a .915 save percentage in 82 games over the last two seasons suggests its time to take off the training wheels to find out if he can handle a starters workload. With a heavier workload after the All-Star break, Dubnyk posted a .919 save percentage in 24 games and, at 6-foot-6, hes got the imposing size of the modern goaltender. There is always unpredictability with goaltending, particularly with young puck stoppers, and how Dubnyk plays could go a long way towards determining the Oilers fate. If he stops 92% of the shots he faces, they could make dramatic gains in the standings. If he stops 90%, the Oilers could be lining up for another first overall pick, so whats most important for the Oilers, long-term, is finding out if Dubnyk is the guy that they can count on to carry this team for 55-60 games. Top Prospects Player Pos. Team/League Stats Magnus Paajarvi LW Oklahoma City (AHL) 7-18-25, +8, 34 GP Oscar Klefbom D Farjestads (SEL) 2-0-2,-1, 33 GP Linus Omark RW Oklahoma City (AHL) 6-10-16,+4, 18 GP Teemu Hartikainen LW Oklahoma City (AHL) 14-18-32,+1, 51 GP Tyler Pitlick C Oklahoma City (AHL) 7-16-23,-1, 62 GP Martin Marincin D Regina (WHL) 11-29-40,-7, 58 GP David Musil D Vancouver (WHL) 6-21-27,+9, 59 GP Colten Teubert D Oklahoma City (AHL) 2-8-10,+7, 46 GP Martin Gernat D Edmonton (WHL) 9-46-55,+41, 60 GP Tobias Rieder LW Kitchener (OHL) 42-42-84, +22, 60 GP Magnus Paajarvi went through a sophomore slump, not scoring a goal in his first 33 games, which resulted in a demotion to the AHL, but all is not lost. Paarjavi is a strong two-way player already, so he can contribute even if hes not scoring. It would be nice if he would score 20-plus goals (he tallied 15 as a rookie), but in the meantime, there should be a role for Paajarvi to fill in Edmonton again next season. Defenceman Oscar Klefbom has been playing against men in the Swedish Elite League for two seasons and while reports have been favourable on his combination of size and skill, Klefbom has a total of four points in 56 games over the last two seasons, so more seasoning is likely required before he can be an impact player, even for the defence-hungry Oilers. Linus Omark played sparingly in 14 games for the Oilers, scoring three goals and, after being sent down to the AHL and missing time with a broken ankle, is growing frustrated with Edmonton, it seems. Hes skilled enough to play in a scoring role. The question is whether it will be in Edmonton or elsewhere. Big winger Teemu Hartikainen has compiled 10 points in 29 games with the Oilers over the last couple seasons and he should have a leg up in competition for a job next season. Hartikainen can be a physical presence and that alone can earn him playing time on a checking line. Hes only 20-years-old, so theres no rush to judgment, but Tyler Pitlick may not be a scorer at the next level after managing 23 points as an AHL rookie. Pitlick still has time to develop and earn a scoring role in the minors before hes given a chance in the NHL. A lanky defender with lots of skill, Marincin has high upside, but plenty of risk if he cant refine his game. A few years in the AHL should tell the tale. David Musil is a safer prospect who doesnt have the potential of Marincin, but is easier to project into a shutdown role when he is ready for the NHL. Physical blueliner Colten Teubert got an extended audition with the Oilers, seeing action in 24 games, but his ice time was managed so that he didnt have to face the most difficult opposition. The 22-year-old is closer to the NHL than any other blueline prospects, so he could see time this season, but he could also use another full year of AHL development. Tall Slovakian defenceman Martin Gernat could be a bargain, taken with a fifth-round pick in last years draft. He needs to round out his defensive game, but he has time and the skills to make it worth the wait. German-born Tobias Rieder was a fourth-round pick in 2011 and enjoyed a strong season in the Ontario Hockey League, scoring 84 points in 60 games, then adding 13 goals and 27 points in 16 playoff contests. He has skills to potentially be an offensive contributor with a few years of seasoning. Goaltender Tyler Bunz, left winger Curtis Hamilton and defencemen Jeremie Blain and Brandon Davidson also add to the Oilers organizational depth. DRAFT1st – Nail Yakupov, trade down. FREE AGENCYAccording to www.capgeek.com, the Oilers have approximately $41.0M committed to the 2012-13 salary cap for 14 players. Check out my potential 2012-2013 Oilers roster on Cap Geek here. Needs: One top six forward, one or two top pair defencemen. What I said the Oilers needed last year: Two top nine forwards, depth forwards, one top four defencemen. They added: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Eric Belanger, Ben Eager, Lennart Petrell, Anton Lander, Darcy Hordichuk, Jeff Petry, Corey Potter, Cam Barker. TRADE MARKET No. 1 pick, Sam Gagner, Magnus Paajarvi, Linus Omark, Nikolai Khabibulin. Scott Cullen can be reached at Scott.Cullen@bellmedia.ca and followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tsnscottcullen. For more, check out TSN Fantasy on Facebook. Andrew Luck Elite Jersey . The right-hander will miss his scheduled start for the Texas Rangers on Saturday at Toronto due to personal reasons. Pat Angerer Jersey . Zhu Jun, who reportedly visited Drogbas native Ivory Coast last week, said the 34-year-old was joining the club, but said no date for his arrival has been set and refused to discuss terms of his contract, the official Xinhua News Agency said. http://www.coltsteamstore.com/andrew-luck-jersey . —Los Angeles Angels manager Mike Scioscia doesnt expect Bobby Abreu to be a distraction in the clubhouse this season. Reggie Wayne Jersey . Cam Fowler and Bobby Ryan each added a goal and an assist for the Americans, while Alex Goligoski and Jeff Petry also scored. Ivo Ruthemann and Morris Trachsler replied for the Swiss. Andrew Luck Womens Jersey . – Steven Shipley scored the lone shootout goal and Jordan Binnington made 46 saves as the Owen Sound Attack beat the Windsor Spitfires 5-4 in Ontario Hockey League action Thursday.EL SEGUNDO, Calif. —The seed was planted in Drew Doughtys mind long before he got this close to the summit. As a kid who grew up worshipping the Los Angeles Kings, the slick defenceman always envisioned himself helping lead the organization to a Stanley Cup. In fact, general manager Dean Lombardi made it clear that was part of his expectation when he selected Doughty second overall in 2008. “Before I was even drafted I had a ton of meetings with the L.A. Kings staff,” Doughty recalled Sunday at the Kings practice facility. “Every single one of those meetings, Dean always brought it up to me: `Are you going to be that guy to help us win that first Stanley Cup in franchise history? “My answer was always Yes.” The Kings are oh-so-close to making it a reality. With a pair of 2-1 overtime victories over the New Jersey Devils to open the championship series, Los Angeles flew back across the continent with an opportunity to wrap it up at Staples Center. This is bordering on fantasyland stuff for Doughty, who grew up in London, Ont., as a Kings fanatic and owned small black-and-silver replica sweaters bearing the names “Gretzky” and “Hrudey.” Those two men were key players in the Kings only other previous trip to the Stanley Cup final, which ended with a five-game loss to Montreal in 1993. The current group has gone further than any team in the franchises 44-year history, having won 14 games this post-season. Doughtys contributions have been impossible to ignore throughout the playoffs and hes taken it to another level at the most important time—logging a team-high 32 minutes of ice time in Game 2 and scoring a highlight-reel goal to boot. “Im having a lot of fun right now,” said Doughty. “This is the biggest time of the year. I know in order for our team to be successful, Ive got to be the best defenceman on the ice every night. “Even though I put that pressure on myself, Im having fun. I think thats when Im at my best.” Of course, this has been anything but a fairytale season. A contract dispute kept Doughty out of training camp—the US$56-million, eight-year deal he eventually signed made him the NHLs third highest-paid defenceman—and some predictable early-season struggles were compounded by a shoulder injury. But the 2010 Canadian Olympian eventually regained the form that made him a Norris Trophy finalist in his second NHL season and credits coach Darryl Sutter, who replaced Terry Murray in December, for helping get him back on track. The Kings are thankful he did. “Hes unique,” teammate Mike Richards said of Doughty. “Theres not a lot of guys that have that skillset. Its scary that hes only 22 years old; that hes going to continue to improve. Ive enjoyed playing with him this yyear. Dwight Freeney Jersey. “I won the Olympics with him and I think hes playing better now than he was there.” These are exciting times for a Kings team that has steamrolled its competition and only dropped two games since the regular season ended in early April. It would take an upset of historic proportions for New Jersey to win the series. Of the last six Stanley Cup finals that began with the road team winning the opening two games, five ended in sweeps. The other was over in five games. However, Devils coach Pete DeBoer wanted no part of that discussion. He pointed out to his players that they havent been dominated by the Kings and actually had a good effort in Game 2—essentially falling one Ilya Kovalchuk crossbar short of tying the series. “Thats stuff irrelevant,” DeBoer said of the gloomy stats. “We really believe we can win a game tomorrow night. If we do, its a different series.” Added veteran goalie Martin Brodeur: “I think were heading in the right direction.” The Kings have ridden their current wave of success to previously unseen heights in a city more famous for its beaches and celebrities than ice rinks. Los Angeles seemed to be bracing for a party as the Kings arrived back in town early Sunday morning, with a host on the local KTLA morning news boldly predicting “were going to have a parade by Friday.” That means she was projecting victories in Mondays Game 3 and Wednesdays Game 4 for a four-game sweep. Players have already started to see a number of changes around town. Numerous electronic billboards reading “Go Kings!” dot the streets while the anonymity they once enjoyed has started to disappear. “Now that were winning, you can just see how the fanbase is turning,” said Doughty. “Were the talk of the city, were getting recognized everywhere. The fans are going crazy and its turning into a hockey town.” Imagine what might happen if they actually get to lift the Stanley Cup. The organizations championship drought dates back to its birth in 1967 and matches the Toronto Maple Leafs and St. Louis Blues for the longest in the NHL. “Its been a long time for these guys,” said Kings forward Jeff Carter. “I think it would mean the world to this franchise (to win). Theyve had some good times and bad times, some ups and downs, and theyve done a great job of sticking to the plan here and building within the organization.” Doughty experienced many of the downs as a fan and is enjoying the ups a player. Two more wins would not only get his name etched into the Stanley Cup, it would also come with a place in Kings folklore. “Now that were here, were not finished,” said Doughty. “We want to do everything we can do to win that Cup.” ’ ’ ’
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